Trump also led Harris in North Carolina—currently the closest state in the race—by 2 points, on 49 percent to Harris's 45 ...
Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out ...
Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others.
Wisconsin, which Biden flipped for Democrats in 2020 after Trump won the state in 2016, is one of the most watched contests ...
Polling guru Nate Silver and his election prediction model ... Harris has come out ahead in several national polls and swing state polls since taking over the top of the ticket.
More polls continue ... notably from Silver’s former company FiveThirtyEight, which as of Tuesday give Harris a 61% chance of winning the Electoral College, an almost 18-point swing between ...
One potential advantage of having a forecast that says … it’s 50/50, is that people should be making their contingency plans, ...
Kamala Harris' betting lead grew slightly as post-debate polls revealed the impact of her faceoff with Donald Trump.