swing state polls nate silver news

Swing State Poll 'Isn't So Welcome' for Democrats, Nate Silver Says

Trump also led Harris in North Carolina—currently the closest state in the race—by 2 points, on 49 percent to Harris's 45 percent. North Carolina has not voted Democrat since 2008, with Trump winning it by under 75,000 votes in 2020. The poll surveyed 116,000 voters and had a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points across the three states.

Mediaite on MSN · 15d

Nate Silver’s Latest Forecast Has Trump Winning Every Single Swing State in Electoral College Blowout

Pollster Nate Silver predicted an Electoral College landslide for former President Donald Trump after his model’s latest forecast showed the Republican now has a 63.8 percent chance to win the majority of the Electoral College vote,

The Times of India on MSN · 2d

Pollster Nate Silver says people should be making contingency plans for Trump win

Silver's model correctly predicted the results of the 2008, 2012 and the 2020 elections but about 2024, he said it's still a "toss-up". According to his 2024 model, Harris retains a modest lead in the probability of winning the election and the popular vote,

Who is leading in the polls?

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are neck and neck ...

Nate Silver: Kamala Harris Had Momentum Early On And Then Had A Very Flat To Negative Period

Nate Silver discussed the state of the 2024 election on CNN: "With all seven states polling so closely, I don't really have ...

Intelligencer on MSN8d

Making Sense of Pennsylvania’s Stubbornly Deadlocked Polls

Analyst and pollster Berwood Yost thinks Harris is well positioned but that she missed an opportunity to seal the deal.

Yahoo News4d

Nate Silver finds Harris with edge on Trump for first time since Aug. 28

Vice President Harris has taken the lead in pollster Nate Silver’s election forecast and ... in Chicago and she officially became the party’s nominee. Silver’s model examines the key swing ...

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