Trump also led Harris in North Carolina—currently the closest state in the race—by 2 points, on 49 percent to Harris's 45 ...

The vice president has over a 50 percent chance of winning Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada, according to Silver.

Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out ...

Famed data analyst Nate Silver's election forecast shows Kamala Harris with a better chance of winning the presidency than ...

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are neck and neck ...

Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others.

Polling guru Nate Silver and his election prediction model ... Harris has come out ahead in several national polls and swing state polls since taking over the top of the ticket.

More polls continue ... notably from Silver’s former company FiveThirtyEight, which as of Tuesday give Harris a 61% chance of winning the Electoral College, an almost 18-point swing between ...